The Blue Migration

Possible beef shortage, rising fruit and vegetable prices, and that’s not the worst disaster on the horizon. If it gets any worse in California, there will be a mass migration of liberals!

End of the American Dream

The size of the U.S. cattle herd has been shrinking for seven years in a row, and we are rapidly heading toward a beef shortage unlike anything that this country has ever experienced before.  Of course the primary reason for this is the extreme drought which has been plaguing the western half of the country.  As I noted recently, 2013 was the driest year that the state of California has ever experienced, and due to the lack of water ranchers across the western half of the nation have been selling off their cattle to be slaughtered.  If you check out the U.S. Drought Monitor, you can see that almost the entire state of California is officially experiencing “D3 Extreme Drought” right now.  If this drought does not end, we will eventually be facing a food crisis in the United States that is greater than any of us have ever seen in our entire lifetimes.

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And of course this drought is not just causing problem for ranchers.  If rain does not start falling, there are rural communities all over California that will soon have no water to drink

The punishing drought that has swept California is now threatening the state’s drinking water supply.

With no sign of rain, 17 rural communities providing water to 40,000 people are in danger of running out within 60 to 120 days. State officials said that the number was likely to rise in the months ahead after the State Water Project, the main municipal water distribution system, announced on Friday that it did not have enough water to supplement the dwindling supplies of local agencies that provide water to an additional 25 million people. It is first time the project has turned off its spigot in its 54-year history.

Most people assume that major droughts only last for a year or two and then things return to normal.

Unfortunately, that is not necessarily the case for the state of California.  In fact, scientists have discovered that throughout history there have been many droughts that have lasted for more than 10 years in the state, and one extremely long drought that lasted for 240 years

Through studies of tree rings, sediment and other natural evidence, researchers have documented multiple droughts in California that lasted 10 or 20 years in a row during the past 1,000 years — compared to the mere three-year duration of the current dry spell. The two most severe megadroughts make the Dust Bowl of the 1930s look tame: a 240-year-long drought that started in 850 and, 50 years after the conclusion of that one, another that stretched at least 180 years.

“We continue to run California as if the longest drought we are ever going to encounter is about seven years,” said Scott Stine, a professor of geography and environmental studies at Cal State East Bay. “We’re living in a dream world.”

In a worst case scenario, we could be looking at a drought in California that does not end during any of our lifetimes.

Perhaps you are thinking that you will just avoid meat for a while.

Well, the truth is that prices for fruits and vegetables are going to go into the stratosphere as well.  In a previous article, I included the following quote which shows how extremely dependent the rest of the nation is on fruits and vegetables grown in California

The state produces 99 percent of the artichokes grown in the US, 44 percent of asparagus, a fifth of cabbage, two-thirds of carrots, half of bell peppers, 89 percent of cauliflower, 94 percent of broccoli, and 95 percent of celery. Leafy greens? California’s got the market cornered: 90 percent of the leaf lettuce we consume, along with and 83 percent of Romaine lettuce and 83 percent of fresh spinach, come from the big state on the left side of the map. Cali also cranks a third of total fresh tomatoes consumed in the U.S.—and 95 percent of ones destined for cans and other processing purposes.

As for fruit, I get that 86 percent of lemons and a quarter of oranges come from there; its sunny climate makes it perfect for citrus, and lemons store relatively well. Ninety percent of avocados? Fine. But 84 percent of peaches, 88 percent of fresh strawberries, and 97 percent of fresh plums?

Come on. Surely the other 49 states can do better.

If this drought does not end, it is eventually going to result in a nationwide food crisis.

The rest here.

So, added to high taxes, hugh unemployment, high crime and an already high cost of living, we add rising food prices and no water…Who would stay in California?

*This post is a little bit tongue in cheek.

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14 thoughts on “The Blue Migration

  1. This is an almost terrifying prospect for many across the country. Unlike some of us, most people do not have the resources to produce their own meat and vegetables and starvation is a strong prospect. Sad that this has to come about as a result of domestic policies of our past regimes and there are even moves by the regime to stop people from raising their own food! We are expected to depend on an entity that has shown itself incapable of doing virtually anything right!

    I have wondered over the years why California has not built desalinization plants along the coast and tap into the vast reserve of the Pacific, I know this would be costly but we must look at the alternatives that is facing this entire country!

    • California has not built desalinisation plants because its cheaper and easier to divert water from other sources. Desalinisation plants requires foresight, that’s the scarcest commodity in a democracy.

      I would like to get a few hundred acres in the mountains and start a small cow/calf operation, so I’ve been reading about the industry. Not only are the herds shrinking, but less people are going into ranching, and agriculture in general, than in years past despite record prices for beef. This belies the theory that says high prices will attract investment.

      In my lifetime, with government policies, droughts and a lack of interest in agriculture, we could end up being a net importer of food.

      “Shall we make our own comforts, or go without them, at the will of a foreign nation?”
      Jefferson

      • Diverting water from other sources doesn’t appear to be working very well for them right now, that’s my point! They are probably very expensive to build and maintain but right now might be considered to be worth the expense and trouble!

        I have several friends whose families have been raising cattle for generations for the market and have been getting out of the business the past few years. Of course the high cost of operating being the reason, it reached a point where they were just breaking even or worse, losing money. A couple of years ago when a drought hit Oklahoma ranchers were bringing horses and cattle to Arkansas to sell as they had no grass/hay or water to feed them. We sold three of our seven horses out of necessity. Our pastures were beginning to look like a gravel parking lot and it just got too expensive to feed them.

        My wife manages a horse ranch about a mile away that has almost 70 acres and three large ponds with two deep water wells. We are more fortunate than most to have these resources available, lots of garden spots and water to irrigate them plus an abundance of fish and wild game.

        Things are going to get deadly serious for a lot of people, unless they run to the regime to take care of them.

          • I’m in total agreement with you! Since you posted this I took a look at some old (20120 data on migration from California, it is surprising how many people have left the state for a number of (obvious) reasons. One source (http://www.manhattan-institute.org/html/cr_71.htm ) puts that number in the millions, 3.4 million since 1990.

            That doesn’t sound like much when one considers the population of California, however I would venture to guess that is probably productive citizens/businesses for the most part simply because of the nature and cause of the migration.

            But again, I understand your point and heartily agree! I don’t know about NC but AR can stand no more deadbeats.

  2. Let’s hope that the Liberals do not head to NC! We have had enough California transplants already.

    There will have to be a drastic turn around very quickly or else Beef will become scarce on the the dinner table. Many people are already priced out of the market now.

    I too have similar dreams and aspirations to have a cow/calf operation and the prohibitive factor as you have noted is the land cost.

  3. I ‘m thinking of getting some Angus myself. We recently had a major grower move here from N. Calif. And he’s glad he did. Also agree with you about Arkansas. They already have Danny!

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